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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe Second American Civil War Has Begun
The barbarians have stormed the gates. The security apparatus of this country is now under the control of a set of malignant narcissists who have no care whatsoever for the rule of law, indeed, they rejoice in its destruction.
I have been predicting for some time (a couple of decades now) that we were headed in this direction and that the US would fall from within. Congress, for all intents and purposes, has no checks on Trump, and as such they are now irrelevant, because Trump can now force banks to bend their knee and give him all the money he needs. The courts are discovering that Trump is simply ignoring him. What are they going to do? Arrest him?
I do not believe that Trump was legitimately elected, however, that is irrelevant now.
My belief is that the Republic, as we know it, is over. There may or may not be elections in 2026, but it won't matter, because the Dems will mysteriously lose big. The next stage is going to be a purge of military officers and a purity test to be administered for their replacements. They will be loyal to Trump, not the Constitution. That's how these things work. Businesses that had government contracts will all kowtow and will lay off anyone who isn't MAGAT, and CEOs of other companies will follow suit, because they don't want to be seen as being in opposition to a punitive, arbitrary, capricious government.
Once that happens, the next stage will be a bomb or drone attack that will take out the Capital Building (cf., the Reichstag Fire), with loyalists mysteriously out of town that day. Trump will use this as an excuse to declare martial law, suspend the Constitution, and declare himself Chaiman of the Board of the Trumplandia. Citing security concerns, he will move the seat of government to Mara Lago.
The reconstituted Congress will still be convened, but it will represent only MAGAT loyalists. The only real opposition is going to come from the States. At that point, I suspect that the West Coast (and possibly the Acela corridor) and the Canadian border states will secede, form mutual support pacts with Canada and Mexico, and will reach out to both NATO and (ironically) China for assistance. This is going to pit the military against itself.
I've been figuring that a breakup will occur, the question I was unsure about was not whether it would happen, but whether it would be a voluntary agreement or by war. I am increasingly pessimistic about this being peaceful. A second civil war will be devastating, but it is looking increasingly possible.

misanthrope
(9,228 posts)It just went cold for a long time.
Metaphorical
(2,528 posts)However, 160 years is a long enough period that there are different culture vectors and alignments at work today. The Southeast will still be on one side of the divide, but consider that this time around, the president is a former New Yorker who was expelled from the city and moved to Florida, Austin, TX has become the new technology hub for the South, and the primary cultural opposition is coming from the West (though primarily led by tech financiers who came from the Northeast and were educated at Harvard and Princeton), this gets a lot more complicated.
misanthrope
(9,228 posts)
As well as:

ITAL
(1,208 posts)Was consistently a bed of Confederate sympathy. Hell, it briefly considered seceding and becoming a city-state. Obviously also the draft riots as well.
elocs
(24,486 posts)who went far too easy on the South and Lincoln embracing the South back into the Union was in essence bringing a poisonous viper to our nation's breast.
Initech
(106,540 posts)Fuck this administration. Fuck them to the hottest circle of hell.
Response to Metaphorical (Original post)
anciano This message was self-deleted by its author.
HereForTheParty
(915 posts)nm
elocs
(24,486 posts)which if they happen at all will be meaningless to recovering the Republic which will be gone by then anyways because why would Trump and Musk allow there to be midterms that could help the Democrats? The folding and collapse of America will come quickly with a bangless whimper compared to its creation.