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bigtree

(91,950 posts)
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 10:26 AM Jul 15

Bannon predicts republicans will "lose 40 seats in '26"

“You’re going to lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement. If we lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement right now, we ain’t gonna … we’re gonna lose 40 seats in ’26,” he said on his podcast yesterday.

“We’re gonna lose the president,” he added.

Bannon’s WarRoom @Bannons_WarRoom
BANNON: The Epstein list is just the tip of the iceberg here; the real question is about who really governs us.

If this cover-up continues, 10% of the MAGA base will walk away.

Lose them now, and we lose 40 seats in 2026 and the presidency in 2028.



33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Bannon predicts republicans will "lose 40 seats in '26" (Original Post) bigtree Jul 15 OP
I certainly hope 40 is a vast underestimate! nt woodsprite Jul 15 #1
What about the Senate? Funtatlaguy Jul 15 #2
Best case scenario we barely flip it ITAL Jul 15 #5
I figured as much. Funtatlaguy Jul 15 #19
Wave elections end up washing away those previously thought to be safe. W_HAMILTON Jul 15 #20
Even those can be wonky though ITAL Jul 15 #32
He says that like it's a bad thing... Wounded Bear Jul 15 #3
My prediction based on nothing is that if Republicans lose big time in the midterms Walleye Jul 15 #4
Trump is never going to quit the job Jspur Jul 15 #6
Well, maybe he won't resign if Republicans lose the majority, but he won't be having any fun Walleye Jul 15 #11
Let's not forget his precarious mental (& physical) health. He can't go on forever n/t ailsagirl Saturday #33
I'm hoping for more than 40. Omnipresent Jul 15 #7
Ain't nearly enough. Conjuay Jul 15 #8
He's lying HelpImSurrounded Jul 15 #9
While That Might Be MissouriDem47 Jul 15 #25
Only 10%? Baitball Blogger Jul 15 #10
They vote. Voting is the key ingredient. comradebillyboy Jul 15 #18
...and thats just the Senate! SSJVegeta Jul 15 #12
Confusing Math ProfessorGAC Jul 15 #13
Music to my ears! Sogo Jul 15 #14
That'll slow em down but need senate to stop the stupid uponit7771 Jul 15 #15
Even more with the way they're covering up the Epstein list! Initech Jul 15 #16
We can only hope. comradebillyboy Jul 15 #17
That is probably more than enough for Trump to try to call off elections rurallib Jul 15 #21
Works for me, Steve! calimary Jul 15 #22
If they lose 10% of the MAGA vote? kentuck Jul 15 #23
So Bannon thinks the 2026 elections will actually be held. That's the really good news here, IMO. TheRickles Jul 15 #24
You're thinking along my lines... slightlv Jul 15 #29
If we don't have a russian type of election like the last musk inspired one and that's a BIG IF. nt ImNotGod Jul 15 #26
Don't forget the number of 2nd Generation immigrants that thought they were protected from deportation AND flying_wahini Jul 15 #27
If we are REALLY lucky AverageOldGuy Jul 15 #28
Oh, Old Guy... if only! (from an equally Old Girl!) slightlv Jul 15 #30
The Great Unwashed says it like it's a bad thing. Bannon is impatient to witness the entire deconstruction of the fed Hekate Jul 15 #31

ITAL

(1,123 posts)
5. Best case scenario we barely flip it
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 10:44 AM
Jul 15

There are just too many deep red states this cycle. I think it's more likely they lose a couple of seats and keep the chamber...or even lose three and Vance has the tie breaker.

Funtatlaguy

(11,856 posts)
19. I figured as much.
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 12:45 PM
Jul 15

Maybe a couple of purple state GOP Senators will retire before 2026.

W_HAMILTON

(9,352 posts)
20. Wave elections end up washing away those previously thought to be safe.
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 12:56 PM
Jul 15

North Carolina and Maine will arguably be lean Democrat as is and I could see several other states potentially flipping if it is a wave election like it looks like it's shaping up to be. If Ernst retires, that's probably moves Iowa next in line to be flipped.

ITAL

(1,123 posts)
32. Even those can be wonky though
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 03:38 PM
Jul 15

In 2018 Democrats gained 41 seats in the House, which was a quality turnaround and we took the Chamber. (Not to mention we gained seven Democratic Governorships)

Even there we lost 2 seats in the Senate.

Walleye

(41,471 posts)
4. My prediction based on nothing is that if Republicans lose big time in the midterms
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 10:40 AM
Jul 15

Trump will find some health reason to resign and spend more time with his family. He will lose interest in the whole project if he doesn’t have complete control, fingers crossed.

Jspur

(734 posts)
6. Trump is never going to quit the job
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 10:48 AM
Jul 15

because his ego is too big for him to walk away from it. It would be huge hit for Trump's pride for him to resign before his term finishes. We are stuck with this POS bearing some miracle where congress as whole agrees to impeach and remove him which the odds of that happening are very low.

Walleye

(41,471 posts)
11. Well, maybe he won't resign if Republicans lose the majority, but he won't be having any fun
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 11:07 AM
Jul 15

ailsagirl

(24,258 posts)
33. Let's not forget his precarious mental (& physical) health. He can't go on forever n/t
Sat Jul 19, 2025, 10:45 PM
Saturday

MissouriDem47

(226 posts)
25. While That Might Be
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:12 PM
Jul 15

On average, in the midterms the presidents party loses 27 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate. So while he might be overestimating the loses it's not by much.

Baitball Blogger

(50,511 posts)
10. Only 10%?
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 11:05 AM
Jul 15

Also, take away for Democrats. The actual MAGA numbers can't possibly be that huge. So how is it possible that such a small percentage can control the direction of an election? Yes, we know hijinks are being played out. But the point is, they have a group that will support even a pedophile to achieve their main goals, which as far as I can tell, is to own the Liberals.

ProfessorGAC

(73,664 posts)
13. Confusing Math
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 11:56 AM
Jul 15

If they lose 10% of the base, some seats will be won by 10% instead of 20%.
In purple districts, it could be a bloodbath, but not sure how 10% of 40% results in 40 seats being lost.
Sound like a number that came put of another of his benders.

Initech

(105,695 posts)
16. Even more with the way they're covering up the Epstein list!
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 12:07 PM
Jul 15

Trump is on it, they know it. But because they're treating the White House like it's a play house, they're like "LA LA LA LA LA I AM NOT LISTENING LA LA LA LA LA". Well, deal with it, assholes! It's time to flush MAGA down the sewer where it belongs!

TheRickles

(2,866 posts)
24. So Bannon thinks the 2026 elections will actually be held. That's the really good news here, IMO.
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:11 PM
Jul 15

slightlv

(6,141 posts)
29. You're thinking along my lines...
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:30 PM
Jul 15

Although, is having an election such a real thing in these days? I remain convinced the last was stolen and trump IS an illegitimate president. No conspiracy theory, just common sense and counting the number and skill/experience level of individuals involved with the tech which could do such a thing. The myriad reports coming in from over the country just goose the feeling. Not that it can help us now... the Founders never considered an election where it could be stolen completely behind the people's backs.

I think they'll do the same thing again in 26 and in 28. How far they get in 26 determines 28 attempts. I hate to say a lot of our hope for preserving democracy in 26 is dependent upon a feud between two main evils - trump and musk. And I wonder how many of the other tech bros could take over control and hacking of satellites, or set up other tech gizmos to do the deed.

I'm not so concerned about there being an election, as I am that the election is truly free, fair, and legitimate. I'd very much like to see the UN and some appointed nations oversee the election, verify and validate that it's all on the up and up... including using their own eye in the sky spy innovations to keep an eye on any hanky panky that could go on thanks to tech and satellites. But, I admit, that's just my opinion, and I'm more than a wee bit cynical at this point. Regardless, I WILL still vote. I just want my vote to actually count for as much as it can, seeing I'm true blue in a very red state.

ImNotGod

(881 posts)
26. If we don't have a russian type of election like the last musk inspired one and that's a BIG IF. nt
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:15 PM
Jul 15

flying_wahini

(8,130 posts)
27. Don't forget the number of 2nd Generation immigrants that thought they were protected from deportation AND
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:28 PM
Jul 15

All of the federal job losses that plenty of MAGAs HAD. Also all the deaths and destructing fires, catastrophic weather incidents without ANY? FEMA funds will bite several of them on their asses.

Gov Abbott is struggling to look helpful in the latest catastrophe here in Texas and tornado/hurricane season will be starting earlier than usual this year.

There are LOTs of moderate Republicans that won’t be able to afford to continue supporting tRUMP.
I think we will take both House/Senate with a good margin. They can’t fight back with the shitty policies that the GOP has supported.

AverageOldGuy

(2,758 posts)
28. If we are REALLY lucky
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:28 PM
Jul 15

the 10% oh the MAGAts who walk away will learn about that honored Japanese tradition of seppuku.

Hekate

(98,600 posts)
31. The Great Unwashed says it like it's a bad thing. Bannon is impatient to witness the entire deconstruction of the fed
Tue Jul 15, 2025, 01:32 PM
Jul 15
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