General Discussion

underpants

(193,096 posts) Tue Sep 2, 2025, 10:20 AM Sep 2

New Virginia poll -Abbie +12. Dem LG & AG +5. GOTV! (X&text)

SoCal Strategist crowdsourced by Virginia Project

Virginia Project/SoCal Strategies Virginia Poll
Governor:
🔵Abigail Spanberger: 53%
🔴Winsome Earle-Sears: 41%
Lieutenant Governor: 🔵Hashmi 46-41
Attorney General: 🔵Jones 46-41
Sears Favorable: -5
Spanberger Favorable: +21
8/31-9/1 n=800 LV
open.substack.com/pub/socaldata/…

Link to tweet

?s=46&t=3VBm1LJ8j8qLp6JTs_8J2A

Methodology

The SoCal Strategies Virginia Poll of 800 likely voters was conducted from August 31 to September 1 using the Pollfish online panel. The survey was sponsored through a crowdfund promoted by the Virginia Project. Respondents were filtered to include only registered voters currently living in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

Respondent Quality

Pollfish utilizes anti-fraud systems to ensure data quality, with an AI-driven algorithm that detects suspicious responses by examining response speed. SoCal Strategies also uses an attention check question in its questionnaire. Respondents who failed this question were removed from the survey.

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4 replies

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Highlight:

New Virginia poll -Abbie +12. Dem LG & AG +5. GOTV! (X&text) (Original Post) underpants Sep 2 OP

It's gearing up to be an absolute blowout. bearsfootball516 Sep 2 #1

True. Lots of undecided for LG & AD. Virginia tends to be a coattail thing underpants Sep 2 #2

Good old Virgin eye aa GreenWave Sep 2 #3

GOTV without ceasing. MineralMan Sep 2 #4

bearsfootball516

(6,636 posts)

1. It's gearing up to be an absolute blowout.

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Tue Sep 2, 2025, 10:22 AM

Sep 2

That 53-41 is with 6 percent undecided. Say it goes 4-2 Spanberger, that's a 14 point win. That's massive.

underpants

(193,096 posts)

2. True. Lots of undecided for LG & AD. Virginia tends to be a coattail thing

Reply to bearsfootball516 (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 2, 2025, 10:29 AM

Sep 2

I think we’ve had a split too 3 once in the last 15-20 years. Usually the Gov candidate brings everyone else along. In Sears case she might drag them down.

Lots of ads during football this weekend. Abbie’s were mostly negative and Sears had a pretty good one with Youngkin making a separate appearance at the end. Abbie’s ads feature Sears holding a AR-15 type weapon at the end. That was her big thing running for a GA seat. Given recent events I actually cringed but I got over it.