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Quiet Em

(2,283 posts)
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 10:21 AM Sep 4

Virginia governor race moves to 'likely Democratic,' per Sabato's Crystal Ball

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, a prominent election forecaster, moved its rating of Virginia’s gubernatorial race from “lean Democratic” to “likely Democratic.”

The rating change is good news for Democratic nominee and former Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.), who has consistently led Republican nominee and Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears (R) in polling throughout the campaign.

Spanberger leads Earle-Sears 47.1 percent to 38.7 percent, according to the Decision Desk HQ average. In April, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report moved the race from a “toss-up” to “lean Democratic.”


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5485704-spanberger-leads-earle-sears-poll/
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Virginia governor race moves to 'likely Democratic,' per Sabato's Crystal Ball (Original Post) Quiet Em Sep 4 OP
Sears is super DEI by GOP's own criteria. Norrrm Sep 4 #1
What happens in NJ and VA JustAnotherGen Sep 4 #2
Absolutely. Quiet Em Sep 4 #4
Not surprising Fiendish Thingy Sep 4 #3

Norrrm

(3,009 posts)
1. Sears is super DEI by GOP's own criteria.
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 10:27 AM
Sep 4

Youngkin took a long time to support her.

Black
Woman
Immigrant

JustAnotherGen

(37,080 posts)
2. What happens in NJ and VA
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 10:29 AM
Sep 4

Matters more than people will ever understand.

We seriously need the media to stop with the Democrats in Disarray, Democrats are weak and feckless, etc. etc.

Even more? We need to stop believing the assholes that put Krasnov in office a second time.

Stop waiting for 2026. We need our Democrats help on the ground NOW - in 8 weeks and a few days.

NOW.

Quiet Em

(2,283 posts)
4. Absolutely.
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 10:38 AM
Sep 4

There is a small, but very vocal segment that spends more time needlessly bashing the Democratic Party for their own agenda. It does nothing to help their agenda and it does nothing to help Democrats. It just enables Republicans and I'm so tired of it.

Fiendish Thingy

(20,823 posts)
3. Not surprising
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 10:37 AM
Sep 4

Only once in the past 50 years has the candidate from the newly elected presidents party won.

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