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JMCKUSICK

(3,972 posts)
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:01 PM Sep 4

What's the over under on the job numbers tomorrow?

I'm gonna say +120,000 phony as it may be.

30 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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What's the over under on the job numbers tomorrow? (Original Post) JMCKUSICK Sep 4 OP
We can't trust the official numbers anymore Walleye Sep 4 #1
See post #19 Wiz Imp Sep 4 #22
wonder how reliable it will be? rurallib Sep 4 #2
No prediction, but I'm confident it will be legit. Wiz Imp Sep 4 #19
Thanks! rurallib Sep 4 #28
It will be 100% fake newdeal2 Sep 4 #3
Nope.. See post #19 Wiz Imp Sep 4 #20
I can tell you what my experience is.. FirstLight Sep 4 #4
Better to apply directly on a company's website BlueWaveNeverEnd Sep 4 #8
Yup... róisín_dubh Sep 4 #23
If there is any appearance of manipulating numbers, podcasters and economists will be very critical. Can't wait. Silent Type Sep 4 #5
I don't do economics per se, it has me wondering JMCKUSICK Sep 4 #13
I've watched that a little. I've seen recent months where ADP showed job loses, but not Labor, and vice versa. Silent Type Sep 4 #15
Thank you Silent Type JMCKUSICK Sep 4 #16
Minus 750,000 MichMan Sep 4 #6
+5,000,000 LastLiberal in PalmSprings Sep 4 #7
We are all employed and all of us are getting rich! Captain Zero Sep 4 #30
They'll lie. greatauntoftriplets Sep 4 #9
Nope. See post #19 Wiz Imp Sep 4 #21
🎵🎶 Happy days are here again! The skies above are clear again, Let us sing a song of cheer again, sop Sep 4 #10
buc, buc, buc onethatcares Sep 4 #18
+250,000 Prairie Gates Sep 4 #11
I think you might be into something.....lol JMCKUSICK Sep 4 #12
Just use that sharpie to turn a negative number positive... haele Sep 4 #14
Lol JMCKUSICK Sep 4 #17
+1 brazillion 0rganism Sep 4 #24
Is that just in the female undergarments sector? JMCKUSICK Sep 4 #25
Some call it the Greatest Jobs Report Ever! 0rganism Sep 4 #26
If the number is high, it's lower. If it's low, Hassler Sep 4 #27
Wall Street has been betting low Johonny Sep 4 #29

Wiz Imp

(7,388 posts)
19. No prediction, but I'm confident it will be legit.
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 05:20 PM
Sep 4

Trump's pick for new BLS Commissioner has not been confirmed yet. In the meantime, Bill Wiatrowski is the Acting Commissioner. He's a long time BLS employee who came up through the statistical programs and has served as Deputy Commissioner and Acting Commissioner on several different occasions previously. In addition, Julie Hatch Maxfield is still the Associate Commissioner for Employment and Unemployment Statistics which oversees the jobs report. She has spent her whole career at BLS working in the CES (jobs) program eventually moving up to upper management overseeing the program. I know Bill & Julie and can say unequivocally that they will NOT falsify numbers. They are good honest people. The numbers will come out on time and they will be legit. What happens after this month remains to be seen, but as long as Bill & Julie are running things, the data will be legit.

newdeal2

(4,161 posts)
3. It will be 100% fake
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:06 PM
Sep 4

And there will be some North Korean style bullshit commentary attached to that report.

FirstLight

(15,747 posts)
4. I can tell you what my experience is..
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:09 PM
Sep 4

It's all bullshit. And now the scams have gotten enmeshed in all of the online applications so that if you go to go apply for something you end up getting 10 spam emails saying oh we've got you we want you and it's all just bullshit. I am so sick and tired of the job market! I'm going back to school there seems to be nothing else left to do

róisín_dubh

(12,134 posts)
23. Yup...
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 06:02 PM
Sep 4

The number of shit emails I get as I’m desperately job hunting under complex circumstances is staggering (I’m on a visa in the UK and whew they hate immigrants as much as the US does)

Silent Type

(11,222 posts)
5. If there is any appearance of manipulating numbers, podcasters and economists will be very critical. Can't wait.
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:12 PM
Sep 4

I bet none of the big financial companies rely on trump's admin for accurate data.

JMCKUSICK

(3,972 posts)
13. I don't do economics per se, it has me wondering
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 04:09 PM
Sep 4

What the correlation is between ADP numbers and Labor department

Silent Type

(11,222 posts)
15. I've watched that a little. I've seen recent months where ADP showed job loses, but not Labor, and vice versa.
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 04:21 PM
Sep 4

I bet long-term and on average, they are close.

7. +5,000,000
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:28 PM
Sep 4

Dementia Don will crow, "NOBODY HAS EVER SEEN NUMBERS LIKE THIS!"

No shit. The rest of us live on Earth One.

And not a single Repuke will contradict him.

Is he DEAD yet? IHDY

sop

(16,140 posts)
10. 🎵🎶 Happy days are here again! The skies above are clear again, Let us sing a song of cheer again,
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 03:41 PM
Sep 4

Happy days are here again! 🎵🎶

0rganism

(25,327 posts)
26. Some call it the Greatest Jobs Report Ever!
Thu Sep 4, 2025, 06:47 PM
Sep 4

Last edited Thu Sep 4, 2025, 08:36 PM - Edit history (1)

Big Beautiful Jobs. Perfect Jobs. Ladies couldn't even FIND panties for the last 4 years, but we're making them Great Again. Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Expect it.

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