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bigtree

(93,231 posts)
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 09:39 PM Tuesday

Here's a thought. Maybe the 'caving' is coming from people quick to declare the fight for the tax credit over

...as if republicans somehow squirmed out from under their own refusal to grant the subsidies RIGHT NOW; something they can do RIGHT NOW under their own votes.

Reality is that the fight for the ACA benefits is delayed until shortly after the holidays - basically the negotiated part of the deal, and backpay which will be a relief to the individuals and families whose lives and livelihoods were subject to the republican politics of refusing to use their own majority to fund government while blaming the minority party for not.

You can fight from now until then to keep the focus on the health care benefits. Republicans own it now, and it's the main topic of concern because Democratic leaders made it so.

I saw someone complaining that the handful of Dems who negotiated took all the 'umph' out of the election win, as if all of that support for Democrats was just some abstraction that maybe the internet pundits generated out in the public with their podcasts - instead of the result of the efforts of the Democratic leaders they're flailing out against without a wit of care or wisdom about who actually stirred up the concern and opposition to the ACA tax credits over the past month. Must be themselves.

A clue: It wasn't the podcasters or the media news hosts who narrate our lives like their privileged hides are actually living the things they're gaslighting us about; like their initial whinging that Dems should be talking about everything under the sun instead of the ACA credits that they're now representing as the sun and the moon.

Imagine you're one of the Democratic legislators coming off of that election and you're stamping your feet like the fight was over because their republican opponents didn't move far enough yet.

Is that really it? Or is this present expectations game just a political construct deftly played out against the present landscape, and our fight for the things republicans are taking away isn't at all immutable and the battle still as it ever was, even against the backdrop of the shutdown?

A couple of months of their own voters anxiety boiling over is what's really always been the thing most likely to move republicans, not what Democrats do or say to them. Keep trolling them and make them as nervous about the premium increases as you are.

If you look, you can see that Democratic leaders are still out there doing just that. Join them.

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Here's a thought. Maybe the 'caving' is coming from people quick to declare the fight for the tax credit over (Original Post) bigtree Tuesday OP
You are right. BUT leftstreet Tuesday #1
stops what? bigtree Tuesday #2
The albeit temporary funding of the government takes the pressure off the republicans. CentralMass Tuesday #4
I disagree bigtree Tuesday #9
The GOPers caving first leftstreet Tuesday #5
The opposite is more likely FBaggins Tuesday #3
I heard Fetterman saying he'd vote for cloture before the elections fujiyamasan Tuesday #7
There were three democratic senators who refused to filibuster from the start FBaggins Yesterday #12
that's O'Donnell's take tonight, too bigtree Tuesday #10
If you think the Republicans are going to negotiate on the ACA, I have Cuthbert Allgood Tuesday #6
it's called political pressure bigtree Tuesday #11
What pressure did we apply? Cuthbert Allgood 17 hrs ago #13
People cannot be browbeaten into joining the fantasy Sympthsical Tuesday #8

leftstreet

(38,208 posts)
1. You are right. BUT
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 09:46 PM
Tuesday
A couple of months of their own voters anxiety boiling over is what's really always been the thing most likely to move republicans, not what Democrats do or say to them.


I think people thought this was happening. States were stepping in, Courts were stepping in. Trump's people were starting to speak against him. The GOPers were starting to take the heat.

Ending the shutdown stops it.

bigtree

(93,231 posts)
2. stops what?
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:08 PM
Tuesday

... it stops nothing unless you think republicans cared about the people they hurt when government is shut down. For whtever that game was worth, it's been played out, but it hasn't led to a republican victory. It's a two month pause in the political infighting to allow people to get paid and fed. Folks need to grip on that.

Our focus should be on the 'republican health care crisis' which is still contained inside and outside the republican budget that's only advanced another two months.

I don't see why that's something to declare defeat over.

The next flashpoint is when the subsidies expire and we hold the vote right afterward.

No doubt there are many republicans nervous about the cuts and stringing them out into January isn't some advantage for them, it's either rope to reel themselves in or to hang themselves with it.

There was always going to be pressure on lawmakers to end the shutdown the closer the holidays drew near, on the ones who cared about the furloughed workers and other priorities for the people, that is, the Democrats.

Not sure what people are going on who supposed republicans who engineered all of this would somehow become concerned people were being hurt by shutting down the government most republicans don't give a shit about.

Not sure why anyone believed that was good for more than the political positioning we clearly got out of it with republicans clearly in charge of the exploding premiums - and reublicans left without any Democratic vote in the Senate on the shutdown or anything else to point to as an excuse for their own majority party not making those subsidies available.

I mean, what the heck did you think that was all about anyway? Did you not see the politics using health care cuts being exercised in tandem by both Democratic leaders, against a lot of headwind from supposed allies telling them to divert to the troop deployment or some other issue?

I'm not following the internet fantasy pollitics that assumes that Democrats were locked into the media expectations game in which they tried with all of their might to knock our leaders off of their messaging, constantly asking why Democrats were keeping the government shut down and ignoring the simple majority republicans need to advance their own partisan budget and fund their republican majority government themselves.

I was following the actual politics, not the worst interpretations offered up for us to adopt and grouse over by gaslighting journos and internet hacks with monetized youtube pages.

CentralMass

(16,722 posts)
4. The albeit temporary funding of the government takes the pressure off the republicans.
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:32 PM
Tuesday

Johnson has already publicly stated he will reject the Democrats budget proposal and will probably not entertain extending the ACA tax credit. It reset the clock.

bigtree

(93,231 posts)
9. I disagree
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 11:17 PM
Tuesday

the 'clock' already started for Americans looking at their projected premium increases.

And the dog will be out of the starting gate on the day subsidies actually increase, a few weeks BEFORE we hold the vote on extending them.

I'd think there will be a lot of talks back and forth during this interim between nervous republicans and Democrats about a compromise.

Not sure why anyone thought we'd move the Senate, the House, and the WH by now without their own party;s voters experiencing actual economic shock and pain.

Look at where we are. They think they're just hurting Democrats. Their people, in more republican states than Democratic using the tax credits, are the only ones that will move them, not pain that they deliberately intended for federal workers or SNAP recipients.

The shutdown was never going to be the trigger, never going to serve as a shortcut or substitute for political movement of republican supporters getting priced out of the health insurance they've been relying on care of Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi in 2021 and 2022.

It was a catalyst which some folks can't seem to see past their own attachment to the expectations game that was actually in play to snare republicans over their entire health care cuts, 'The Republican Health Care Crisis' as Jeffries puts it.

This is political opportunity, and it's folks who can't grasp the shutdown politics who haven't managed to catch onto the wave of opposition that the Dem leaders stirred up for us.

The way I see it is, if folks believe they have enough influence to push Democrats around for trying and making progress, they can certainly use that influence to push republicans even further.

I mean, we don't need to hold federal workers and their families, as well as everyone else whose lives and livelihoods depend on a functioning government hostage to our politics. it certainly wasn't moving republicans after 40 some days to hurt people any less than they already intended by engineering this shutdown.

Is there really some purpose or intent in arguing this as if Democrats engineered something republicans could solve with their own votes ending the filibuster, or in reconciliation?

Do I really have to keep pretending there was an actual Democratic party hold on the majority party budget? I'm moving on from that construct to the present one, and I think that's the imperative right now: To take advantage of the ground we gained.

leftstreet

(38,208 posts)
5. The GOPers caving first
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:34 PM
Tuesday

I think the reactions you're seeing spring from that. As I said, States and Courts were stepping in on SNAP. Trump/GOPers starting to squabble. Dem sweep of elections, holidays coming, etc etc

FBaggins

(28,577 posts)
3. The opposite is more likely
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:29 PM
Tuesday

They knew that republicans weren't going to give an inch and that we were eventually going to cave - but saved the election by delaying until after we won.

fujiyamasan

(947 posts)
7. I heard Fetterman saying he'd vote for cloture before the elections
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:42 PM
Tuesday

The fix was in for a while. The cynical side of me says that senate dems told Spanberger and others from Virginia that this would be resolved right after the election. It played for a cudgel in VA.

They knew the republicans wouldn’t give in a bit. What’s pathetic is they gained next to nothing. I’m really amused by this vote Dems will supposedly get. The trust they place in Thune is laughable. I’m tired of the gaslighting by some on this site, that somehow republicans caved. They’re laughing their asses off. If Trump is saying it’s a good deal, well it clearly isn’t. I don’t need some hack pundit telling me otherwise.

FBaggins

(28,577 posts)
12. There were three democratic senators who refused to filibuster from the start
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 12:15 AM
Yesterday

This story is really about the five who made the different in the end.

bigtree

(93,231 posts)
10. that's O'Donnell's take tonight, too
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 11:23 PM
Tuesday

...cited Politico saying their negotiations began on day one with republicans, and that Schumer did well holding them back until afterward.

Cuthbert Allgood

(5,339 posts)
6. If you think the Republicans are going to negotiate on the ACA, I have
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:38 PM
Tuesday

some pyramid schemes to sell you.

They are already starting off with stronger abortion restrictions just to have the debate.

We lost this one. Bigly.

bigtree

(93,231 posts)
11. it's called political pressure
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 11:30 PM
Tuesday

...and I'm not one of the people who supposed republicans who engineered the shutdown they could end themselves cared enough about the federal workers they were hurting to make any compromise.

The compromising begins when it's political fraught for republicans to continue, ie. their own voters rebelling against the premium increases that will occur in the interim before the upcoming vote that was negotiated as part of this.

It's one thing to claim that the shutdown was the beat all. it's quite another to equivocate about it all as if that was the end all beat all to the entire political effort.

It was a step forward for anyone interested in taking up a part of the fight; that is, if they're done fighting the deconstructed political construct that brought us to expecting action on something no one was talking about before the shutdown; something not part of the budget or the shutdown which Dem leaders made the most important thing for supporters and detractors.

Keep up.

Cuthbert Allgood

(5,339 posts)
13. What pressure did we apply?
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 10:19 AM
17 hrs ago

We caved. The Rs didn't have to give up anything to get their shitty CR. What impetus did we give them to care at all about the next time we won't vote with them. They just have to wait and we'll give in.

Sympthsical

(10,749 posts)
8. People cannot be browbeaten into joining the fantasy
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:45 PM
Tuesday

I mean, I appreciate the attempt if only for the art of the thing.

But it's getting to be a bit much.

That poor billy club needs a vacation.

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