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RandySF

(79,642 posts)
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 11:56 AM 15 hrs ago

NY-10: Poll shows young voters would back Avils over Goldman

New York’s 10th Congressional District has been the subject of much speculation as multiple Democrats weigh a primary challenge to incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman. A recent poll found that New York City Council Member Alexa Avilés, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America, is well-positioned to grow out a campaign if she chose to run.

The group Stand Up Action, Inc, which focuses on fighting extremism and building a more representative government, commissioned the poll. The organization sought to gain insight specifically into the potential appeal of Avilés, according to a memo shared exclusively with City & State. Although no Democrat has yet announced a run against Goldman, City & State first reported last month that Avilés was contemplating a run and would likely receive the backing of the NYC-DSA if she did.

Avilés is not the only candidate considering running for the congressional seat, though. City & State broke the news last month that outgoing New York City Comptroller Brad Lander has told close allies he plans to run against Goldman, and Lander confirmed to Crain’s New York Business on Thursday that he is seriously considering a run. A September poll by Demand Progress found that Lander would beat Goldman by 19 points, 52% to 33%, in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup.

The poll from Stand Up Action found that Avilés would fare much worse against Goldman – with the incumbent congressional representative beating her 45%-16% among definite supporters and those who lean one way or the other – but it also found that Avilés is largely unknown in the district, is well-liked by those who do know and has room to grow her support.



https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2025/11/poll-shows-young-voters-would-back-aviles-over-goldman-ny-10/409422/?oref=csny-category-lander-river

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lapucelle

(20,864 posts)
2. The "poll" was a push poll.
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 12:51 PM
14 hrs ago
It appears to have been commissioned by Demand Progress on behalf of the DSA and/or Aviles.

https://demandprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/demand_progress_ny10_toplines.pdf

------------------------------

I feel sorry for Ladner. He's probably is looking for a spot to land now that it's been revealed that he won't have a role in Mamdani's administration. As per CNN...

One person who is out of the picture for now is Brad Lander, the city comptroller who was at that first Working Families meeting and later allied with Mamdani under the primary’s ranked-choice system.

snip=====================

But over the summer, Mamdani would confide he wasn’t much impressed with Lander. Nice enough guy, but he didn’t seem particularly effective as comptroller, Mamdani said according to a person familiar with his comments. The two went weeks without talking, and though Lander would get defensive and blame overlapping post-election vacations, all his talk that he’d be the one really running the city next year had gotten back to Mamdani and not gone over well.

By the weekend before the election, Lander’s wife was telling friends at a party that Mamdani had called to tell the comptroller he would not have a job in the administration since he wasn’t getting the job he wanted. By the day before the election, Lander was reaching out to major donors to solicit commitments for a congressional run against Rep. Dan Goldman, according to a person familiar with the matter.

Lander declined to comment on his plans on Tuesday night.

https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/05/politics/how-zohran-mamdani-won

========================

It will be interesting to see who gets the DSA endorsement.

lapucelle

(20,864 posts)
3. It appears that Mamdani rejected Ladner, and Ladner's first move was to reach out to "major donors".
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 01:00 PM
14 hrs ago

I wonder who they could be.


Nanjeanne

(6,480 posts)
4. I think if Lander chooses to run he will get sll
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 01:01 PM
14 hrs ago

the momentum from the Mamdani supporters. I’ve seen him on tv a few times and, like Mamdani, he’s a good communicator who appears to truly believe what he’s saying. I hope he runs!

lapucelle

(20,864 posts)
5. He's welcome to run., but the questions about why Mamdani decided against him are bound to come up.
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 01:19 PM
14 hrs ago

lapucelle

(20,864 posts)
7. It appears that Ladner let it be known that he might run in NY-10 AFTER Mamdani passed over him.
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 03:49 PM
11 hrs ago
[O]ver the summer, Mamdani would confide he wasn’t much impressed with Lander. Nice enough guy, but he didn’t seem particularly effective as comptroller, Mamdani said according to a person familiar with his comments.

The two went weeks without talking, and though Lander would get defensive and blame overlapping post-election vacations, all his talk that he’d be the one really running the city next year had gotten back to Mamdani and not gone over well.

By the weekend before the election, Lander’s wife was telling friends at a party that Mamdani had called to tell the comptroller he would not have a job in the administration since he wasn’t getting the job he wanted.

By the day before the election, Lander was reaching out to major donors to solicit commitments for a congressional run against Rep. Dan Goldman, according to a person familiar with the matter.

https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/05/politics/how-zohran-mamdani-won

=============================================


Cha

(315,773 posts)
8. Whoa... That kind of explains Why Brad Ladner
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 04:04 PM
11 hrs ago

wouldn't be such a good candidate for Rep.

I like Rep Dan Goldman .. I Hope he Keeps his job.

Mahalo, lapucelle.

lapucelle

(20,864 posts)
9. I like Dan Goldman too. He comes out to Nassau County to knock on doors with us.
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 04:23 PM
11 hrs ago

He's a solid Democrat.

It will be interesting to see the two socialists duke it out. No ranked choice voting this time.

Cha

(315,773 posts)
10. Rep Goldman is a brilliant "solid Dem"!
Wed Nov 12, 2025, 04:39 PM
10 hrs ago
Thank You For Knocking On Doors, too!

No ranked choice voting.. Good!

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