The over-ground support for her can far outweigh and succeed against any veiled support for another candidacy.

as AOC would do in the general election in 2028. I think the world of both of them, and they would do well when it's just democrats voting, because they bring all the fire, but they will get creamed if they have to try to get moderate and independent votes. Texas is still a red state.

I just don’t find long-range political predictions about a race so diaphanous very useful, so I’m not ready to take any of them seriously yet.

Vote for Jasmine, though.

Here’s hoping Crockett will be able to stride in on the smoking ruins.

I do not believe she can win the senate seat in Texas when she has to try to get independent votes. I will be voting for James Talarico in the primary, who I really like, and who I think has a much better chance of getting the Hispanic vote, and the independent vote.

I honestly do not understand why we have so many big names vying for the same seat. Colin Allred did the right thing by dropping out and running for something else. We need to spread out our talent. I like Jasmine Crockett, but this is a mistake, and as a Texan, she will not get my support in the primary.

for US Senate could have a positive or negative impact on the party's chances of winning certain US House races - so I think "Do No Harm to the down ballot" ought to be a consideration in who is nominated.

and will run for some house seat.

the wisest path is to try to become a star congressman in the US House - Beto should have done the same thing. When Allred ran for Senate in 2024, I assumed he hated the House and didn't care about coming out of 2024 empty-handed - but apparently this wasn't the case.

I don't understand your point about Allred as being more likely to sway some pro choice Reps. Crockett seems pro-choice to me as well.

a former football player and a man has a much better chance than a Black woman. Let's just be honest.

However Allred is out of the race. James Talarico is still in the race, and he also has a better chance of winning votes from Hispanics, independents, and moderates in Texas (Texas is a majority Hispanic state) than a Black woman.

It's the same reason everyone keeps hammering the point on this board over and over and OVER that we don't want to run another woman for president in 2028 because it's a surefire way to lose. Texas is a red state. Beto couldn't win and he's a white guy. James Talarico will probably lose too, but he has a better chance as a Hispanic man.

Nominating Crockett in the primary would be as foolish as democrats coming out in 2028 and nominating AOC for President. Guaranteed loss. And I say that as someone who really likes AOC.

Allred isn't even running for Senate, he's running for the House.

Again, sources?

...IMO, it would be better that she stayed in the House for now. Watching her demolish Republicans in there are things of beauty. The BBBBBB thing against MTG left Comer befuddled as hell.

Running for the Senate is on of those ‘Fifty percent of everything, or a hundred percent of nothing’ situations.

I'm sad. I like her and Talarico. I don't want to choose.