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RandySF

(85,174 posts)
Wed Apr 15, 2026, 09:30 PM Wednesday

MI-SEN: New poll shows dead heat in Michigan Democratic Senate race as voters lean left of party establishment

A new poll of likely Democratic primary voters in Michigan shows the race for U.S. Senate remains wide open, with Abdul El-Sayed, Mallory McMorrow, and Haley Stevens effectively tied and a large share of voters still undecided.

The Data for Progress survey found Stevens at 23% and El-Sayed and McMorrow at 22%, while 33% of likely Democratic primary voters said they were undecided. The poll surveyed 515 likely Democratic primary voters in Michigan from April 2-8 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The results suggest the Democratic primary is still very much up for grabs less than four months before the Aug. 4 election. The poll also offers a clearer look at the coalition El-Sayed is trying to build, made up of Democratic voters who are largely progressive and especially skeptical of pro-Israel political influence and military escalation in the Middle East.

That could be good news for El-Sayed, a progressive former Wayne County health director who has made opposition to Israel’s war in Gaza and criticism of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) a central part of his campaign.




https://www.metrotimes.com/news/politics-elections/new-poll-shows-dead-heat-in-michigan-democratic-senate-race-as-voters-lean-left-of-party-establishment/

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MI-SEN: New poll shows dead heat in Michigan Democratic Senate race as voters lean left of party establishment (Original Post) RandySF Wednesday OP
Anybody know McMorrow's position on Gaza and aid to Israel? Fiendish Thingy Wednesday #1
Stevens RandySF Wednesday #2
Huh? Nt Fiendish Thingy Wednesday #3
I know that Stevens has. RandySF Wednesday #4
Thanks. Nt Fiendish Thingy Thursday #5
This article gives some idea -- it was after the primary when the districts were merged fujiyamasan Thursday #6
Stevens was lustily booed today at the Michigan Dem convention. Takket Sunday #7
Question for Michigan voters: Polybius Sunday #8
I'm not a Michigander anymore but I would say no. RandySF Sunday #9
I don't think so either Polybius Sunday #10
As a Micigan voter i sayd YES, El-Sayed has a Excellent Chance decisivevoter Yesterday #14
Welcome to DU - TBF Yesterday #16
Welcome to DU LetMyPeopleVote 22 hrs ago #18
I grew up in Michigan fujiyamasan Yesterday #15
So Who can best beat Mike Rogers? After Cha Sunday #11
Mallory RandySF Sunday #12
Got it.. That's who I'm For! Cha Sunday #13
As someone who doesn't vote in that state, MineralMan Yesterday #17

Fiendish Thingy

(23,478 posts)
1. Anybody know McMorrow's position on Gaza and aid to Israel?
Wed Apr 15, 2026, 09:43 PM
Wednesday

Has she taken any money from AIPAC?

fujiyamasan

(1,888 posts)
6. This article gives some idea -- it was after the primary when the districts were merged
Thu Apr 16, 2026, 12:57 AM
Thursday
https://www.timesofisrael.com/aipac-backed-stevens-ousts-levin-in-race-seen-as-bellwether-on-us-israel-politics/amp/

“Stevens’ decisive win concluded a bank-busting primary that attracted more than $4 million in pro-Israel outside spending to a face-off between two incumbents in the Detroit suburbs.”

Takket

(23,747 posts)
7. Stevens was lustily booed today at the Michigan Dem convention.
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 06:46 PM
Sunday

She is my current Congressperson. But I will not vote for anyone in a primary taking AIPAC money. That is a red line for me.

Haley Stevens is booed as she takes the stage at the Michigan Democratic Party Convention in Detroit. She spoke over people screaming "shame" and other comments, many about Palestine, through most of her remarks.

"Democrats, I love you, even when we disagree," Stevens said.

Andrew Roth (@roththereporter.bsky.social) 2026-04-19T20:29:55.768Z




INBOX: Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens and New Hampshire Rep. Chris Pappas, who are both running for Senate, cut two video messages for AIPAC's official Instagram yesterday.

If you may recall, a US-Israeli joint strike this week killed over 100 Iranian schoolgirls, widely considered a war crime.

Alex Ip 葉清霖 (@alexip718.com) 2026-03-08T19:55:52.868Z


Polybius

(22,001 posts)
8. Question for Michigan voters:
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 07:47 PM
Sunday

Realistically, can Abdul El-Sayed defeat Mike Rogers in November?

Polybius

(22,001 posts)
10. I don't think so either
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 07:55 PM
Sunday

While Rodgers is very conservative, he almost looks reasonable compared to Trump.

decisivevoter

(1 post)
14. As a Micigan voter i sayd YES, El-Sayed has a Excellent Chance
Mon Apr 20, 2026, 07:02 AM
Yesterday

People here in Michigan are tired of paid-off politicians. They are tired of Republicans lies. It is refreshing to hear a growing # of people here loving Abdul El-Sayed's message.

Remember, people thought Mamdani didnt stand a chance. They clearly didn't live in New York. Same thing here.

TBF

(36,883 posts)
16. Welcome to DU -
Mon Apr 20, 2026, 10:49 AM
Yesterday

we have the same thing in Texas with Talarico. It's going to be an uphill battle for him when the cons choose their candidate in the runoff, but he at least has a chance (religious, 8th generation Texan). Things really vary by region, or as Tip used to say "all politics is local"

fujiyamasan

(1,888 posts)
15. I grew up in Michigan
Mon Apr 20, 2026, 09:14 AM
Yesterday

I’d say no. I don’t think he’ll win the nomination either. He lost to Whitmer in the gubernatorial primaries in 2018.

It’s a very purple state. It seemed more reliably blue, but like PA has drifted a bit by voting for Trump twice.

Steven’s’ problem appears to be that she has taken money from AIPAC and was their preferred candidate when she had to compete with another democrat (Levin). It was a nasty primary back in 2022 due to redistricting.

Otherwise I’d say she was the front runner earlier. I think McMorrow is the dark horse now and maybe able to consolidate progressive support, due to El sayed’s missteps with Piker. If I still lived there, I’d probably vote for her.

Cha

(319,610 posts)
11. So Who can best beat Mike Rogers? After
Sun Apr 19, 2026, 07:59 PM
Sunday

reading this thread... that seems like an important question.

Any clues? TY!

MineralMan

(151,430 posts)
17. As someone who doesn't vote in that state,
Mon Apr 20, 2026, 11:21 AM
Yesterday

I agree. It's not really an issue for us. It's all up to MI voters, so why are we trying to decide what they will decide.

Who wins is not up to us in any way. Our political preferences have no role there in a primary race.

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