Let's see how it holds up to a Steyer money barrage.

I just want blue.

He would be a powerless figurehead at the mercy of a supermajority in the Assembly and Senate.
Both chambers are 3 to 1 D right now and unlikely to change much.

That aside, barring a late scandal, if a R makes it to the General, he would be fortunate to reach 40%.

A Repub gov is basically a figurehead

What would be best is if 2 Dems win the primary and then the voters can decide in November. I don't care who it is, as long as it is a DEM!

Last edited Mon Apr 20, 2026, 09:05 PM - Edit history (1)

I can't find anything about this pollster beyond the Bluesky feed.

I tried to look up rating or reputation info but found nothing.

Nate Silver has a pretty comprehensive list and they don't appear on it.

Seems to me all the current polling out there is too close to Swalwell's exit to be meaningful.

For example, the most recent poll from a reputable source is the April 14-15 Emerson poll, which has a 23% don't know -- most of which are likely Swalwell voters looking for a new home. "Don't know" clearly has the Republicans beat. When they land somewhere, I have little doubt one of the Dems will rise to first or second position (and most likely, we'll see Dems in both positions)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/california-governor-election-polls-2026.html?unlocked_article_code=1.clA.-WkR.T8n-A37lhlnZ&smid=nytcore-android-share

Poll details:
1,000 likely voters.
Sponsor: Inside California Politics, Nexstar.

Results:
17%
Hilton
.
14%
Bianco
.
14%
Steyer
.
10%
Becerra
.
10%
Porter
.
5%
Mahan
.
3%
Villaraigosa
.
1%
Yee
.
1%
Thurmond
.
23%
Don't know
.
1%
Someone else

now that Yee has withdrawn, that along with the undecideds would easily be enough to propel two democrats to the top two spots for November, which would be ideal.

But them formally withdrawing would help solidify support around the top 2-3 democrats and that is what we really need to make sure we don't wind up with 2 republicans on the ticket in November, which would be a disaster, ugh.

You don't belong here. We don't want you here. Go Away.

I do not like the gorilla primary nor ranked choice voting.

The problem with so many Democratic candidates is that two GOP members (Hilton and Bianco) could end up the two candidates in final election because of Dems splitting the primary vote.

Wish Steyer and his wealth were not in the competition for California governor.

Glad to see Becerra benefit from the slack created by Swalwell dropping out.