the less time he will have to actually do it. A stern letter will not matter to Krasnov.

Texas will be over one way or the other long before California can do anything.

The game is all about getting them to back down… and probably in the next couple weeks. The only actual moves he could make before then likely make it less likely that he’ll succeed.

(although I agree it is also a "show" of alpha male force)

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5447290-california-congressional-map-redrawn/

I.e., they have steps to go through, so right now, they plan to prepare for a November ballot question to have voters authorize it (where in that state, there's probably a good chance the measure passes), and if approved, they will go through the next step of drafting/passing legislation that would probably include a "trigger" mechanism to initiate the redistricting. I expect maps would already be drawn up by that point.

There will of course also be legal challenges (as I expect would happen in TX too).

November is well beyond whatever timeline Texas will end up on. The only "move" they could make before then is to pass something showing what the new lines will be... but doing so makes it less likely that the measure will pass.

As for the likelihood of support in a special election in November? That was my initial assumption as well - but then I remembered how California got the existing constitutional process in the first place. Democrats were trying to remove the commission for it's then-current control of state legislative lines while the alternative proposal was to extend the commisssion's mandate to congressional lines as well. The (overwhelmingly blue) state legislature opposed it - as did the entire democratic side of the congressional delegation (including Pelosi)...

...yet we lost by over 20 points.

and you agreed - basically indicating it was a bluff (the way it comes off).

And I am countering that they are NOT "waiting".

The CA state Legislature will be drafting language in a bill (or bills) to do it, including holding a referendum and also considering having the process occur as a "trigger" if TX goes ahead and does it.

They are supposed to come back in session during their recess on Aug. 18th to get the initiative on the November ballot as the first step.

(yes that source but it describes what is happening and the steps that are being planned) - https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5447290-california-congressional-map-redrawn/

I was initially under the impression that there was no way to get a special election in by November because state law required the governor to schedule them at least a certain number of days after the declaration... but of course the legislature can just change that law.

So I'm left wondering what drives the date of the 22nd... because it seems to have influenced TX democrats returning

where the former might require candidates to gather nominating petitions within a certain time so more time is needed in advance (notably to validate the petitions), whereas a referendum is something that is coming directly out of the state legislature and they will probably want to put it on a November general election ballot.

i suspect his letter is aimed at the party in general.

They need to create pop up books.

there is ALWAYS a copy somewhere!