Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

BumRushDaShow

(159,749 posts)
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 04:55 PM 11 hrs ago

Consumer sentiment worsens as some economists warn of 'stagflation'

Source: ABC News

September 12, 2025, 10:35 AM


Consumer sentiment dampened in September, extending a decline from the previous month as government data showed a hiring slowdown alongside an uptick of inflation, prompting concern about an economic double-whammy called "stagflation." The reading came in lower than economists expected.

The two-month downturn in shopper attitudes resumes a decline that took hold after Trump took office, University of Michigan Survey data on Friday showed. At its low point, consumer sentiment fell close to its worst level since a bout of inflation three years ago. The measure remains below where it stood in December, before Trump took office.

Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady from August at 4.8%, the data showed. The outcome anticipated by respondents would put inflation well above its current level of 2.9%. Long-run inflation expectations ticked up for the second consecutive month, data showed.

The report arrived a day after an inflation reading showed an uptick in price increases in August as President Donald Trump's tariff policy intensified. Inflation stands at its highest level since January, though it remains less than a percentage point higher than the Federal Reserve's target rate of 2%.

Read more: https://abcnews.go.com/Business/consumer-sentiment-worsens-economists-warn-stagflation/story?id=125509868



Link to University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment REPORT - Preliminary Results for September 2025
6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Consumer sentiment worsens as some economists warn of 'stagflation' (Original Post) BumRushDaShow 11 hrs ago OP
With entrenched and ignorant people moniss 9 hrs ago #1
We're Not Buying Anything We Don't Have To Buy OC375 9 hrs ago #2
And inflation is heating up. 3 month average, annualized: 3.5% (3.6% for the core CPI) progree 7 hrs ago #3
Graph of Consumer Sentiment and link to other charts progree 7 hrs ago #4
Sad OC375 6 hrs ago #5
Stagflation? Hah, if you are lucky! Aussie105 3 hrs ago #6

moniss

(8,005 posts)
1. With entrenched and ignorant people
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 06:06 PM
9 hrs ago

in the WH doing economic policy things look like they are heading downhill at a quickening pace. These people are the kind that take the approach of denying a problem rather than admitting a problem and addressing it realistically and effectively.

OC375

(234 posts)
2. We're Not Buying Anything We Don't Have To Buy
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 06:56 PM
9 hrs ago

I don't trust that the rules won't change on any given thing 5 minutes from now. We could spend money, and there are things we'd like to have or do or replace, but we feel saving it is the better move for now. It probably doesn't help the economy, but there you have it.

progree

(12,287 posts)
3. And inflation is heating up. 3 month average, annualized: 3.5% (3.6% for the core CPI)
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 08:31 PM
7 hrs ago

The CPI rise averaged 3.5% over the past 3 months on an annualized basis (core CPI: 3.6%)

The August one month increase annualized is: CPI: 4.7%, (core CPI: 4.2%)

CPI graphs galore, all on an annualized basis for comparing to each other and to the Fed's 2% target.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143528031#post12

The outcome anticipated by respondents would put inflation well above its current level of 2.9%.


That 2.9% is a 12-month average -- half the data is over 7 months old, too old for me since I am concerned with RECENT inflation, not museum data.

progree

(12,287 posts)
4. Graph of Consumer Sentiment and link to other charts
Fri Sep 12, 2025, 08:43 PM
7 hrs ago

Last edited Fri Sep 12, 2025, 11:25 PM - Edit history (1)

https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Other charts: https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/charts



It's not a big nose-dive from last month like some media narratives make it out to be. But it's mighty low.

There's also a 50 year version of the chart at the above /charts link for a longer perspective

Aussie105

(7,184 posts)
6. Stagflation? Hah, if you are lucky!
Sat Sep 13, 2025, 12:48 AM
3 hrs ago

With other countries given the heebie-jeebies by US tariffs and looking to trade much more with others, stagflation is a certainty, and it might deepen to something far worse.

Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Consumer sentiment worsen...