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elleng

(140,179 posts)
Mon Jul 7, 2025, 03:39 AM Jul 7

Britain's Prime Minister Is Fading Away Before Our Eyes.

((Sorry I didn't realize it was so bad.))

'It was meant to be a moment to celebrate. A year ago, after nearly a decade and a half in the wilderness, the British Labour Party returned to power — and the man who led them there, Keir Starmer, became prime minister. Yet the anniversary of that achievement has been anything but joyous, soured by rebellion and steeped in bitterness.

A month of mutinies, forcing the government into successive humiliating U-turns, lie behind the miserable milestone. The most recent really stung. When the government announced cuts to welfare payments for 800,000 mostly disabled people, it surely assumed, with its large majority in Parliament, that the legislation would easily pass. Instead, as one estimate suggested the change would push 250,000 people into poverty, discord in the party only grew, hardening into a full-scale revolt of over 100 lawmakers. Desperate to stave it off, the government made last-minute concessions — twice — and just managed to pass the bill.

Crisis, for now, has been averted. But the whole affair is expressive of the discontent that surrounds the government — and most of all the man who just 12 months ago promised Britain a “reset.” Rather than renewal, Mr. Starmer has overseen decline, his first year suffering a steady drop in authority and approval, both among the public and his own party. In fact, a curious phenomenon is taking place: Before Britain’s eyes, Mr. Starmer appears to be losing not just political weight but material substance, too. After just a year in office, Britain’s prime minister is fading away. . .

Even with four years of his term to go, there’s a palpable feeling in the air that Mr. Starmer’s time may be coming to an end. Any momentum brought about by Labour’s landslide victory last July was halted by his bizarre decision to begin the new era with somber warnings about things “getting worse before they get better” and announcements of imminent cuts to public services. The prime minister accepts that this communications strategy was a mistake, but the damage was done.'. . .

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/07/opinion/keir-starmer-britain-government.html

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rpannier

(24,744 posts)
1. My eldest is at University in the UK. I read some British publications
Mon Jul 7, 2025, 03:50 AM
Jul 7

From what I can gather, he needs to cut Morgan McSweeney loose.
He's Starmer's Chief of Staff.
Starmer likes him, and credits him with Labour's success last election
But, even prominent "Blairites" (no friends of the left) want him gone.

Doodley

(11,196 posts)
2. Starmer has been exceptional in standing up against Putin and leading a coalition to compensate for the void left by
Mon Jul 7, 2025, 04:30 AM
Jul 7

Trump's inaction. He has tried to be a Trump whisperer. He has shown willingness to admit his mistakes and compromise. Front pages of him admitting he was wrong about welfare cuts---we can only dream that Trump would be like that. His main political failure has been that he hasn't sold his successes or taken down the Reform party that is ahead in the polls---the populiist pro-Trump party led by the man that gaslit Britain into choosing the disaster that is Brexit.

AZProgressive

(29,699 posts)
3. I don't think he's seen the study
Mon Jul 7, 2025, 06:11 AM
Jul 7

that shows that adopting right wing positions such as austerity ends up costing center-left politicians votes. The study was specific to Europe so a lot of myths about US politics don't apply. Reform is probably going to be more successful in the next election and Starmer only has himself to blame.

Emrys

(8,673 posts)
4. Starmer ran for election on an ultra-cautious platform
Mon Jul 7, 2025, 07:37 AM
Jul 7

The Tories' standing was so parlous that simply standing as "not the Tories" was enough to win seats, but the whole Labour campaign was based on the "ming vase strategy":

It refers to the way that the man who is on the verge of being prime minister, and his chancellor to be, Rachel Reeves, are being so depressingly cautious in their electoral commitments that many natural Labour voters are asking themselves: what is the point?


It was about not handing the Tories and the media any minor victories that could have rocked the boat as Labour sailed toward electoral success.

As those of us on the UK left know only too well, it's not the first time Labour has run on a platform of not changing much in terms of the basis on which the Tories governed, just managing matters better. So far, Labour has failed to even accomplish that very sparse aim, and is pursuing a course of at best austerity-lite, at worst, full-blooded austerity, which plagued the Tories in office.

The major issue that underlies all others is Reeves' dogged determination to abide by stringent fiscal rules Labour adopted as its own and to avoid taxing the rich to the extent that many in the country would approve of. To make up budgetary shortfalls, Labour chose instead to kick off its time in office by placing further burdens on those who're already struggling.

For instance, the failure to raise lower-band tax threshholds means that those receiving any more than the state pension - the lowest in Europe - with earnings from any income source other than a private pension if they have one, now face having to submit tax returns when they didn't need to in the past. A person on the maximum state pension currently receives £11,973 per year, the individual allowance before income tax begins to be levied is £12,570 at the moment, and above that, they start paying tax starting at a rate of 19%. The state pension is increased year by year under a system called "the triple lock". If Reeves (or her successor) refuses to increase the individual tax allowance, it will be only a matter of time before those on the maximum state pension are liable to tax on any amount exceeding the allowance.

Labour's early term has been littered with missteps like this - many not only morally indefensible, but politically cloth-eared. The radical change that many in the electorate felt was necessary - even if they were hazy on the details, except they wanted to feel a bit better off - has been absent. And as a result, Reform UK has benefited enormously in polling, because it majors in hazy policies and solutions, and victimizing outgroups - which some in the labour leadership have come perilously and shamefully close to doing themselves - and is quite sanguine about promising more that it could ever deliver.
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