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RandySF

(79,642 posts)
Sat Nov 8, 2025, 06:09 AM Saturday

Why Seattle's elections often swing left as counting continues

Between the lines: Differences in voting habits between the city's younger and older voters are driving the trend, political consultant Sandeep Kaushik told Axios.

"One of the central political dividing lines in Seattle is on the basis of age," Kaushik said. "Older voters tend to be more moderate, while younger voters lean much harder left."

Those younger voters also tend to vote late and are much more likely to use drop boxes than they are to put their ballots in the mail, he said.

"Those votes come in late and get counted later in the process, and that's why you see a sharp break to the left," Kaushik said.




https://www.axios.com/local/seattle/2025/11/08/why-seattle-mayor-results-often-shift-left-late-counts

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Why Seattle's elections often swing left as counting continues (Original Post) RandySF Saturday OP
Yep. 9 to 11 point swing left is typical. pat_k Saturday #1

pat_k

(12,435 posts)
1. Yep. 9 to 11 point swing left is typical.
Sat Nov 8, 2025, 05:21 PM
Saturday

I didn't realize the swing tended to go the other way outside Seattle. I wonder if it correlates at all with drop box use? (Which I would guess probably correlates with drop box availability.). That varies a great deal by county.

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/data-research/reports-data-and-statistics/ballot-drop-box-usage-year

In Seattle so many people are close to a drop box if you're in a demographic that tends to procrastinate it is easy to rationalize "I'll just get it to a drop box" as election day nears.

I wonder if a meaningful number of "procrastinators" just don't end up voting at all because they live somewhere that it's more of a hassle to get in the mail or a drop box? And when you miss one election, the non-voting habit tends to repeat.

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