Economy

progree

(12,403 posts) Thu Sep 4, 2025, 09:14 PM Sep 4

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This message was self-deleted by its author (Original Post) progree Sep 4 OP

SP500 dropped like a rock. Opened up 0.40%, held 20 minutes, since has swung down a total of more than 1.0% Bernardo de La Paz Sep 5 #1

Rate cut progree Sep 5 #2

Bernardo de La Paz

(59,329 posts)

1. SP500 dropped like a rock. Opened up 0.40%, held 20 minutes, since has swung down a total of more than 1.0%

Reply to progree (Original post)

Fri Sep 5, 2025, 10:44 AM

Sep 5

Now down about 0.60% from yesterday's close.

Big swing.

Was a September rate cut (now 100% of the experts are expecting one) already priced in and the economic data frightening investors more?

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progree

(12,403 posts)

2. Rate cut

Reply to Bernardo de La Paz (Reply #1)

Fri Sep 5, 2025, 03:50 PM

Sep 5

Was a September rate cut (now 100% of the experts are expecting one) already priced in and the economic data frightening investors more?

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
Since yesterday, the traders' expectation of a HALF POINT rate cut has increased from 0% to 10.2%

Before the 9/17 Fed rate decision, there will still be the producer price index, the consumer price index, consumer sentiment, and retail sales reports coming out, so things can change
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar

At the moment, S&P 500 off 0.40% from yesterday's close.

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