Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

usonian

(19,952 posts)
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 12:33 AM Aug 17

The next financial crisis. You guessed right. Crypto.

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/the-next-financial-crisis.html

By 2013 the seeds were planted, not by Wall Street wizards, but by Tech Wizards. Now the seeds have taken root (Of course, I'm talking about cryptocurrency, what Charlie Munger called financial "rat poison" ).

Last year, researchers at the NY Fed looked at the impact of crypto on the financial system: The Financial Stability Implications of Digital Assets. And they concluded: "that, to date, the contribution of digital assets to systemic risk has been limited, given that the digital ecosystem is relatively small and not a major provider of financing and payment services to the real economy."

The key to preventing a financial crisis is to keep the non-regulated (or poorly regulated) areas of finance out of the financial system. A good example is the Tulip Bubble in the 1600s. Some people got rich, others were wiped out, but it had no impact on the financial system.

Unfortunately the current administration has embraced crypto. They are allowing it to creep into the financial system, and allowing 401K plans to hold crypto (aka future bagholders). There has been some discussion of allowing financial institutions to lend against crypto holdings - like for a mortgage. This is mistake and increases the possibility that crypto will be the source of the next financial crisis.


Ah, deregulate everything. Libertarian hog heaven.

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

no_hypocrisy

(52,788 posts)
1. Would the motivation behind banks (eventually) accepting Crypto as collateral
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 03:19 AM
Aug 17

for loans or mortgages be to prevent an underground financial system that would compete with them?

I had the same sinking feeling of dread when Derivatives were "the thing" years ago.

usonian

(19,952 posts)
2. I think that the original motivation for crypto was to overthrow the established banking system.
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 03:38 AM
Aug 17

So, do banks "embrace and extinguish" it, to borrow a Microsoft tactic? Or at least get some control, or a piece of the action?

They don't consult me.

Dunno how they think.

no_hypocrisy

(52,788 posts)
3. Kind of like how TSF tried to take over the NFL by creating his own football league?
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 03:49 AM
Aug 17

Starting in the 1980s, Trump has tried on numerous occasions to become an owner of an NFL team, though he has never succeeded in his bids. In the mid-1980s, Trump became the team owner of the New Jersey Generals in the rival United States Football League (USFL) and led the league in a lawsuit against the NFL to attempt to force a merger. The USFL won a pyrrhic victory in the lawsuit, though without a merger or a substantial financial victory. Trump's actions have been widely seen as a major factor in the dissolution of the USFL shortly thereafter. During his first presidency, Trump called for a boycott of the NFL over the U.S. national anthem kneeling protests that many players were participating in, with some analysts viewing Trump's comments as part of his continued feud with the NFL.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_and_American_football

or LIV (Golf) competing with the PGA?
LIV Golf-PGA Tour marriage looks like it will never walk down the aisle

Read more at: https://www.star-telegram.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/mac-engel/article311702316.html#storylink=cpy

hatrack

(63,406 posts)
5. I suspect everyone here is aware of Molly White - if not, her blog is essential
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 08:20 AM
Aug 17
https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/

Week after week, scam after scam, hack after hack, rug-pull after rug-pull.

It's like a seamless silken ribbon of fraud making money magically evaporate.

bucolic_frolic

(52,074 posts)
6. I won't wade any deeper than a crypto ETF. Can be quickly exited.
Sun Aug 17, 2025, 09:23 AM
Aug 17

Buy on weakness, sell on strength.

Latest Discussions»Culture Forums»Personal Finance and Investing»The next financial crisis...