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Related: About this forumCentral Bank of Russia GIVES UP Completely. President RESIGNS. Inflation EXPLODES. - The Russian Dude
Putin may be panicking over an emergency building inside Russias economy, because this text argues that the future of the Central Bank of Russia is no longer just about one official keeping her job, but about whether the Kremlin is preparing to abandon ruble stability in order to squeeze more money out of a worsening wartime system. At the center of the story is Elvira Nabiullina, whose term as governor of the Central Bank is due to expire in 2027, and whose possible departure is presented here as a signal that the old balancing act may be ending.
For years, Nabiullina and the broader economic bloc were some of the few people in Moscow forced to live in reality, dealing with inflation, exchange rates, banking stress, deficits, and the brutal limits of budget math while the security elite and propagandists lived in a world of imperial fantasies. The text says that is why Putin kept her for so long: not because she is loved by the system, but because he personally understands how dangerous state bankruptcy can be after witnessing both the Soviet collapse and Russias 1998 default. But now the pressure is growing. Powerful figures around the Kremlin want cheaper money, lower rates, more borrowing, and a Central Bank that serves the state budget more directly, while the actual federal budget is already under serious stress from war spending, regional obligations, hidden military costs, and slowing growth.
The description argues that the real crisis is not just the official deficit, but the hidden burden being pushed into banks, poor regions, and off-budget systems, which is why replacing Nabiullina with someone like Maxim Oreshkin, Andrei Kostin, or Pyotr Fradkov could mean the Kremlin is preparing for a more dangerous phase of economic policy. That phase, according to the text, would likely involve weakening the ruble, tolerating higher inflation, and using the Central Bank less as a defender of stability and more as a tool to help fund the war economy. The logic is brutally simple: if oil prices fall or export income weakens, a cheaper ruble still brings more rubles into the budget for every dollar earned, helping the state in the short term even while ordinary Russians get punished through lower purchasing power, weaker savings, higher import costs, and rising prices. In that sense, Nabiullinas fate becomes a warning sign.
If Putin changes the law to keep her, the Kremlin may still want discipline and a professional defender of the ruble. But if he lets her leave quietly when her term ends, that could be the moment Russia shifts into a more openly desperate strategy where inflation, devaluation, and financial erosion become the hidden tax ordinary Russians pay for a war economy that can no longer fund itself cleanly.
For years, Nabiullina and the broader economic bloc were some of the few people in Moscow forced to live in reality, dealing with inflation, exchange rates, banking stress, deficits, and the brutal limits of budget math while the security elite and propagandists lived in a world of imperial fantasies. The text says that is why Putin kept her for so long: not because she is loved by the system, but because he personally understands how dangerous state bankruptcy can be after witnessing both the Soviet collapse and Russias 1998 default. But now the pressure is growing. Powerful figures around the Kremlin want cheaper money, lower rates, more borrowing, and a Central Bank that serves the state budget more directly, while the actual federal budget is already under serious stress from war spending, regional obligations, hidden military costs, and slowing growth.
The description argues that the real crisis is not just the official deficit, but the hidden burden being pushed into banks, poor regions, and off-budget systems, which is why replacing Nabiullina with someone like Maxim Oreshkin, Andrei Kostin, or Pyotr Fradkov could mean the Kremlin is preparing for a more dangerous phase of economic policy. That phase, according to the text, would likely involve weakening the ruble, tolerating higher inflation, and using the Central Bank less as a defender of stability and more as a tool to help fund the war economy. The logic is brutally simple: if oil prices fall or export income weakens, a cheaper ruble still brings more rubles into the budget for every dollar earned, helping the state in the short term even while ordinary Russians get punished through lower purchasing power, weaker savings, higher import costs, and rising prices. In that sense, Nabiullinas fate becomes a warning sign.
If Putin changes the law to keep her, the Kremlin may still want discipline and a professional defender of the ruble. But if he lets her leave quietly when her term ends, that could be the moment Russia shifts into a more openly desperate strategy where inflation, devaluation, and financial erosion become the hidden tax ordinary Russians pay for a war economy that can no longer fund itself cleanly.
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Central Bank of Russia GIVES UP Completely. President RESIGNS. Inflation EXPLODES. - The Russian Dude (Original Post)
2naSalit
21 hrs ago
OP
Imagine if Russia had simply made a defense and economic partnership with Ukraine instead of invading it.
Midnight Writer
21 hrs ago
#1
Midnight Writer
(25,871 posts)1. Imagine if Russia had simply made a defense and economic partnership with Ukraine instead of invading it.
Russia would be in a much better place today, and so would Putin's political fortunes.
Now imagine if Donald Trump had not attacked Iran.
The USA would be in a much better place today, and so would Trump's political fortunes.
When will the manly leaders of countries realize they can do much better for themselves and their countries if they would shake hands with their neighbors rather than attacking them?
Deuxcents
(27,856 posts)2. Power hungry madmen can't see past their egos