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Related: About this forumIran 'quite far' from being militarily defeated: Fmr. Nat. Security official under Trump and Biden - The Weekend - MS NOW
Following his trip to China this week, Trump claims that Irans military is decimated despite reports that Iran retains substantial missile capabilities.
Lara Seligman, National Security Reporter for The Wall Street Journal, and Jennifer Welch, Chief Geoeconomics Analyst at Bloomberg Economics and Former National Security Director for China and Taiwan Under the Trump and Biden Administrations join The Weekend to discuss. - Aired on 05/16/2026.
LetMyPeopleVote
(181,993 posts)Secret new assessments say Iran has operational access to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting that its military remains far stronger than President Trump has asserted.
Link to tweet
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/12/us/politics/iran-missiles-us-intelligence.html?unlocked_article_code=1.h1A.lLIv.YeCzsv8a1hFI&smid=tw-share
Most alarming to some senior officials is evidence that Iran has restored operational access to 30 of the 33 missile sites it maintains along the Strait of Hormuz, which could threaten American warships and oil tankers transiting the narrow waterway.
People with knowledge of the assessments said they show to varying degrees, depending on the level of damage incurred at the different sites that the Iranians can use mobile launchers that are inside the sites to move missiles to other locations. In some cases they can launch missiles directly from launchpads that are part of the facilities. Only three of the missile sites along the strait remain totally inaccessible, according to the assessments.
Iran still fields about 70 percent of its mobile launchers across the country and has retained roughly 70 percent of its prewar missile stockpile, according to the assessments. That stockpile encompasses both ballistic missiles, which can target other nations in the region, and a smaller supply of cruise missiles, which can be used against shorter-range targets on land or at sea.
Military intelligence agencies have also reported, based on information from multiple collection streams including satellite imagery and other surveillance technologies, that Iran has regained access to roughly 90 percent of its underground missile storage and launch facilities nationwide, which are now assessed to be partially or fully operational, the people with knowledge of the assessments said.....
The findings underscore the dilemma Mr. Trump would face if the fragile month-old cease-fire in the conflict collapses and full-scale fighting resumes. The U.S. military has already depleted its stocks of many critical munitions, including Tomahawk cruise missiles, Patriot interceptor missiles, and Precision Strike and ATACMS ground-based missiles, and yet the intelligence suggests that Iran retains considerable military capability, including around the vital Strait of Hormuz......
But Irans apparent ability to retain substantial military capacity has exacerbated concerns among U.S. allies about the wisdom of the war and generated criticism among Mr. Trumps anti-interventionist supporters who opposed getting into the conflict in the first place.
Iran has the military capacity to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed and if necessary destroy all of the petroleum and other infrastructure of our Gulf allies.
LetMyPeopleVote
(181,993 posts)The president seems less upset about the developments in Iran than he does about Americans knowing about the developments in Iran.
As evidence contradicts the White Houseâs line on Iran, Trump targets free press www.ms.now/rachel-maddo...
— Philly Joe (@joehick58.bsky.social) 2026-05-13T19:49:26.039Z
https://www.ms.now/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/as-evidence-contradicts-the-white-houses-line-on-iran-trump-targets-free-press
Classified U.S. intelligence assessments of Irans military capacity revealed a reality at odds with the Trump administrations public claims that Irans missile stockpile has been decimated, showing the regime has regained access to key missile sites and launchers after more than two months of war.
The recent intelligence reports found Iran has restored access to 30 of the 33 missile sites it controls along the Strait of Hormuz, which could be used to target American warships and oil tankers transiting the strategic waterway, a U.S. official with knowledge of the intelligence assessments told MS NOW.
This dovetailed with a related New York Times report that said Iran still fields about 70 percent of its mobile launchers across the country and has retained roughly 70 percent of its prewar missile stockpile.....
Two weeks ago, for example, Trump said the Times coverage of Iran was actually seditious, in my opinion. This week, he kept going, saying via his social media platform that news organizations have committed virtual TREASON, adding, They are aiding and abetting the enemy!
The argument is tough to follow the Iranian government is aware of its own military capabilities, whether American news organizations report on its resources or not, so its far from clear how Iranian officials are aided by the disclosures though its important to emphasize that this is not just an instance of Trump railing against the nations free press for the umpteenth time.
On the contrary, the administration is also following through on the rhetoric with meaningful action. The Wall Street Journal reported this week that Trump privately complained to acting Attorney General Todd Blanche about media leaks in the wake of the Iran war last month, according to administration officials familiar with the matter, prompting an aggressive push at the Justice Department to pursue those investigations.
trump did not destroy Iran's military and is trying to lie. In addition, it is clear that Iran inflicted significant damage on US bases in the region.
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