General Discussion

I think the chance of a successful Trump coup is very low. But the chance of Trump calling for violence on his behalf to contest the election - even if using veiled language to reduce the chance of criminal penalties - is very high.

Trump’s most diehard, fanatical supporters - even if just 1% of his total base - are already primed to do violence on his behalf.

A Tweet from Trump on November 4th claiming “DEEP STATE RIGGED ELECTION. BIDEN COUP. RESIST.” would strike a match and there absolutely would be extremists committing violence across the country.

The problem is that I think such an inflammatory Tweet is far more likely than one saying, “Congratulations to Joe. You won fair and square.”