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krawhitham

(5,044 posts)
9. Common misconception, the debate had no impact on voter preference
Tue Nov 11, 2025, 10:37 AM
Tuesday

Biden's numbers did not start falling until Schiff, Pelosi, & others (Clooney & Stewart) demanded he step down

President Joe Biden’s performance during the first presidential debate has been widely panned, with critics and even those within his own party calling for him to step aside. But the question remained: Would Biden’s shaky performance against former President Donald Trump result in a noticeable dip in the polls for the president?

According to a new report from the Northeastern University-led data project CHIP50, the answer is no.


https://news.northeastern.edu/2024/07/09/biden-debate-performance-voter-preferences/

We compared the voting preferences of respondents who had previously participated in the April-May wave of CHIP50 to those of the same individuals reported during the week following the June 27 US presidential debate. Our results indicate a modest churn of voters’ preferences, with no substantial shift in the race between Biden and Trump.

https://www.chip50.org/reports/no-change-evaluating-the-short-term-impact-of-the-presidential-debate-on-voter-preferences



https://osf.io/preprints/osf/trvfb_v1

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