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I find it helpful to ground myself in the polls vs ec counts. The link above is just a static picture, the real one is a java script embed and can't be linked to.

Anyway, it shows the states we need to get over 270 and how likely that is based on local polling.

It currently shows if we get all of {PA, MI, MN, NH and NV}, we still need one of {WI, AZ, FL, NC, or OH).

That makes me VERY nervous. WI is the land of wicked fast fascism and we know voter suppression is high. OH? doubtful. And the list goes on.

So that's where a lot of people justifiably say yeah, but.

What really scares me is that the bulk of our vote is bottled up in large urban areas. And that is susceptible to election day authoritarian hamfists. Also, a lot of states have not locked down their voting systems and are basically giving hackers free reign to do what they do.

We still need every vote just to get to 270. This won't be a landslide in the ec. And the courts will be active.

If this were 2008 I'd be partying. But that was a different place and time.