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when I decided to sub to MarketWatch, I went on and picked up Barron's too (at a discount with the MarketWatch). And per them, that plot is apparently done quarterly, with their Summary of Economic Projections report. The last report released was in June (6/18/25) (PDF) - https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcprojtabl20250618.pdf
So they are apparently released in March, June, September, December.
What Is the 'Dot Plot'? These Charts Show You How to Read the Fed's Interest-Rate Projections.
The tool is highly watched and frequently misinterpreted. Here's a complete guide.
By Molly Cook Escobar
Jun 18, 2025, 8:51 AM EDT
Where does the Federal Reserve see interest rates heading? You can find the answer yourself—if you know where to look.
The Federal Reserve's primary functions are to keep prices stable and maintain full employment. Adjusting interest rates is one way the central bank achieves those goals: Higher rates increase the cost of borrowing for Americans and businesses and tend to reduce demand, while lower rates can have the opposite effect.
Members of the Federal Reserve's policymaking arm meet eight times a year to potentially make changes to short-term rates based on trends in inflation, the labor market, and other aspects of the economy.
Four times a year, the group publishes its Summary of Economic Projections, which includes a chart that shows where each of the Federal Open Market Committee's 19 policymakers expect interest rates to be over the next several years and in the long term. Each member’s anonymous forecast is represented by a single dot, hence why it is called the Fed’s “dot plot.”
(snip)
The tool is highly watched and frequently misinterpreted. Here's a complete guide.
By Molly Cook Escobar
Jun 18, 2025, 8:51 AM EDT
Where does the Federal Reserve see interest rates heading? You can find the answer yourself—if you know where to look.
The Federal Reserve's primary functions are to keep prices stable and maintain full employment. Adjusting interest rates is one way the central bank achieves those goals: Higher rates increase the cost of borrowing for Americans and businesses and tend to reduce demand, while lower rates can have the opposite effect.
Members of the Federal Reserve's policymaking arm meet eight times a year to potentially make changes to short-term rates based on trends in inflation, the labor market, and other aspects of the economy.
Four times a year, the group publishes its Summary of Economic Projections, which includes a chart that shows where each of the Federal Open Market Committee's 19 policymakers expect interest rates to be over the next several years and in the long term. Each member’s anonymous forecast is represented by a single dot, hence why it is called the Fed’s “dot plot.”
(snip)
Snapshot of one that the NYT had last month (for the 6/18/25 one) -
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