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BumRushDaShow

(161,041 posts)
Wed Oct 1, 2025, 08:31 AM Wednesday

Private payrolls declined in September by 32,000 in key ADP report coming amid shutdown data blackout [View all]

Source: CNBC

Published Wed, Oct 1 2025 8:15 AM EDT


Private payrolls saw their biggest decline in two-and-a-half years during September, a further sign of labor market weakening that compounds the data blackout accompanying the U.S. government shutdown.

Companies shed a seasonally adjusted 32,000 jobs during the month, the biggest slide since March 2023, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for an increase of 45,000. In addition to the drop in September, the August payrolls number was revised to a loss of 3,000 from an initially reported increase of 54,000.

The report comes as the funding impasse in Washington, D.C. has led to the first government closure since late 2018 into early 2019. Failing a deal over the next two days, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ nonfarm payrolls report for September will not be released, nor will the Labor Department put out the weekly jobless claims count on Thursday. The last time the BLS payrolls report was delayed was in 2013.

Federal Reserve officials count on the payrolls releases as they make decisions on interest rates. The Fed next meets Oct. 28-29, meaning there won’t be another payrolls report before then. ADP’s count, then, takes on added significance as markets widely expect the central bank to cut another quarter points off its key borrowing rate.

Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/01/private-payrolls-declined-in-september-by-32000-in-key-adp-report-coming-amid-shutdown-data-blackout.html

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A key MAGA report will have some cooked up numbers saying everything is awesome IronLionZion Wednesday #1
The BLS report that was going to be released Friday is probably done Johnny2X2X Wednesday #2
Wrong. In 2013, The same thing happened. Shutdown on October 1, then no Jobs Wiz Imp Wednesday #3
"they had no idea what the numbers would look like" PSPS Wednesday #5
OMG. You have no idea what you are talking about. Wiz Imp Wednesday #6
Well, there's this PSPS Wednesday #7
Please Stop! You honestly don't know what you're talking about! Wiz Imp Wednesday #8
Well, here's a former head of the BLS indicating Trump could impact upcoming reports, regardless of who's commissioner: SunSeeker Wednesday #13
Nice try. But you failed big time. You'll find that I've never typed a single word in any post here Wiz Imp Wednesday #15
I did not "fail big time." I did not "fail" at all. You admitted my point. SunSeeker Wednesday #17
{Sigh} 🙄🥱Ridiculous Wiz Imp Wednesday #21
"Ridiculous" is thinking we still live in a world where we don't have Trump slandering BLS staffers. SunSeeker Yesterday #29
maga might easily ignore numbers, but corporations will not, and maga will notice layoffs around them Bernardo de La Paz Yesterday #33
You failed at your implication of tRump interference. "unless" is a hypothetical, a possibility, nowhere near a fact.nt Bernardo de La Paz Wednesday #22
Trump has interfered by slandering BLS statisticians. That is why Groshen is worried (her words). SunSeeker Yesterday #28
We are all worried, but it is important to not cynically assume facts not in evidence. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Yesterday #31
There's plenty of evidence of Trump defaming BLS staff and BLS survey responses dropping off. SunSeeker Yesterday #36
Declines in survey responses have been happening slowly without tRump. There is no evidence he has accelerated it. Bernardo de La Paz 23 hrs ago #38
Groshen is not insulting BLS, nor am I. We are pointing out how Trump is harming BLS. SunSeeker 22 hrs ago #39
It's about time you stated that. . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz 22 hrs ago #40
It's about time you stopped insulting me....nt SunSeeker 22 hrs ago #42
Your excerpt indicates NO problem from political influence and MAYBE survey lack of response maybe in the FUTURE. . . nt Bernardo de La Paz Wednesday #20
Groshen is worried for a reason. I think she knows what she is talking about. SunSeeker Yesterday #30
Exactly as I stated. She is worried about survey participation, NOT about fudging data or calculations. Bernardo de La Paz Yesterday #32
You fail to understand Groshen's (and my) point. Participation drops hurt data accuracy. SunSeeker Yesterday #35
Data inaccuracy due to survey response rates is NOT corruption, NOR is it interference, NOR is it the fault of BLS. Bernardo de La Paz 23 hrs ago #37
Trump causing response rates to fall is interference. SunSeeker 22 hrs ago #41
ooooooof Prairie Gates Wednesday #4
This message was self-deleted by its author LetMyPeopleVote Wednesday #9
Biden did NOT have these job losses LetMyPeopleVote Wednesday #10
ADP reported a loss in the monthly jobs report only once in Joe Biden's 4 years (March 23). Wiz Imp Wednesday #11
Guess who'll be raging at ADP soon BaronChocula Wednesday #12
Job Reports Demarch Wednesday #14
Delaying the release of the Jobs Report during a shutdown is standard operating procedure Wiz Imp Wednesday #16
Welcome to DU LetMyPeopleVote Yesterday #34
No report coming out of the government with trump's hand picked cronies can be trusted. lostincalifornia Wednesday #18
There are ZERO hand-picked cronies at BLS. The single one and only political nominee has been withdrawn. Bernardo de La Paz Wednesday #23
Excuse me Bernardo. He just fired the BLS Commissioner, Erika McEntarfer, because he didn't like lostincalifornia Wednesday #24
It is a mistake to think that because one person was fired, suddenly all the unfired employees are corrupt Bernardo de La Paz Wednesday #25
What, the Department of Justice is targeting the Presidents political enemies? Buddyzbuddy Wednesday #19
Tough times coming BlueWaveNeverEnd Wednesday #26
☝️ CentralMass Wednesday #27
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