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Bernardo de La Paz

(57,199 posts)
9. Complacency among analysts is the source of the same old same old reaction to market declines
Mon Jun 2, 2025, 10:56 AM
Jun 2

Almost all of them think these are ordinary conditions and ordinary indicators apply. They discount the destructive effects of the orange chaos agent. And retail investors have been buying the dips which works like a charm in TACO, until one time it doesn't.

The economy has been resilient so far, in part because of delays in tariff effects and front running to mitigate their effects for a short period of time. Another delay is that many federal workers have taken the September buyout option so they don't count in stats until then or October. Tourism is expected to be down this summer, but we're only seeing hints now and won't see the ripple effects on the broader economy until later.

Ask yourself: are the downside risks greater than potential upside rewards?

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