District of Columbia

Tom Cruise movie so not the most credible but it rang true to me
In a gang fight you have a leader and a few wing men - they'll fight but when the action starts a bunch of the others run off.

There will be some MAGA nuts that will fight to the bitter end. But a lot of them will be like Trump with bone spurs in their courage.

Trump's policies are like wedge issues. each one will peel away support
- all those in government who got fired or had their funding cut
- all those in universities threatened by Trump's policies
- all those with loved ones mistreated or removed by ICE
- transgenders who lost their retirement in the military and their families that sympathize with them
- gays who are facing their marriages to be wiped away
- women losing the right to choose
- people on Obamacare, Medicare/Medicaid who lose it due to cuts or raised premiums
- farmers whose crops are rotting because of ICE
- families who can't make ends meet because of the steep inflation from tariffs
- economic issues like inflation and lost jobs and exploding deficit
- MAGAts turned off by Trump's avoidance to release the Epstein files and his treatment of Ghislaine Maxwell
- those upset with Republican book banning
- those upset with Texas gerrymandering to steal the 2026 midterms
- those upset with oligarchs cashing in and controlling the legislature and media
- those upset with Trump's backward steps for climate change and damage to FEMA
etc
etc

I'm sure folks here can add to the list.
It's not pretty.
I'm not sure more gerrymandering can overcome it.
It will eventually damage the oligarchs businesses.

Yes, the hard core will threaten civil war but I don't think many of them will have the stomach for it