Florida

MDW’s track record for predicting Miami’s election results this year has been solid. In August, a survey by the firm found Higgins led the field of mayoral candidates by a large margin — 36% support, the exact share of the vote she ultimately got — but not large enough to avoid a runoff.

That poll also identified González as her likely runoff foe and found former City Commissioner Ken Russell closely trailing him in third place. Russell placed third Tuesday less than 2 points behind González, with 17.6% of the vote.

MDW’s August survey also found there was overwhelming support for Referendum 4 to impose lifetime term limits on Miami Mayors and City Commissioners of two full terms.

The survey showed 71% support for the measure. It scored 79% support Tuesday.