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Hawaii

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msongs

(72,095 posts)
Fri Jul 24, 2020, 07:24 PM Jul 2020

Hawaii tropical storm - how bad will it be? [View all]

the latest projected path shows the worst case track, but the storm is relatively small so a 50 mile deviation either way makes a big improvement in weather for some areas. At this point a sharp turn is not likely.
A possible scenario is that it scores a direct hit on the big island of Hawaii with its pair of 13,000 foot volcanos which will severely damage the storm circulation, but that outcome is bad for the people living on that island.

Here in Waikiki the probable worst outcome is a long term power outage due to previously unstressed trees and power poles coming down.

and flooding. the islands have low mountains with steep canyon sides that funnel water into narrow high volume channels.

then again, it could just turn out to be heavy showers and breezier than usual.

PS - its amazing how accurate the projected map was from Tuesday last. Here is the latest map -

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_cp2+shtml/204144.shtml?cone#contents

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