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Michigan

(352 posts)

6. Would not put much stock in polls when they are wrong consistently.

Thu Jul 25, 2024, 08:45 AM

Jul 2024

"If political pollsters were physicians, large numbers of them would be getting hauled before medical disciplinary boards for misdiagnosing their patients."
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/04/03/opinion/why-are-presidential-polls-wrong-biden-trump/

"Most election polls report a 95% confidence level. Yet an analysis of 1,400 polls from 11 election cycles found that the outcome lands within the poll’s result just 60% of the time. And that’s for polls just one week before an election—accuracy drops even more further out."
https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/research/election-polls-are-95-confident-but-only-60-accurate-berkeley-haas-study-finds/#

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Trump and Harris is virtual tie in Michigan (Poll) [View all] Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 OP

Emerson Poll Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #2

To me that means Kamala is ahead in Michigan, gab13by13 Jul 2024 #3

Agree Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #4

Do you think he's been paying Emerson? Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #5

I saw the headline on my home page just now, gab13by13 Jul 2024 #7

My rule of thumb: Fiendish Thingy Jul 2024 #10

Would not put much stock in polls when they are wrong consistently. waterwatcher123 Jul 2024 #6

Here is the deal breaker with me about polls gab13by13 Jul 2024 #8

Ignore the numbers.... getagrip_already Jul 2024 #9