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Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
5. Definitely some questions, though.
Sun Apr 1, 2018, 09:46 AM
Apr 2018

I couldn't find an analysis of how this might affect our candidates' chances. Cherny's now badmouthing both parties and describing himself as in the "purple middle" and his website shows a big "America" tattoo rather than the other.

More importantly, I missed one of our Democratic Party candidates before, Toby Smith, a nice-spoken black woman who ran for mayor before and sounds solidly for liberal Democratic values and goals.



A new, local Post and Courier article suggests this safe-red seat might just be more vulnerable than thought.

COLUMBIA — A poll commissioned by Democratic congressional candidate Joe Cunningham suggests Lowcountry voters are interested in sending "someone new" to Congress after U.S. Rep. Mark Sanford's 11 years combined in the House.

The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling from March 1 to 4 with 788 voters in the 1st Congressional District, puts Sanford's approval rating at 44 percent, with 40 percent disapproving of the Charleston Republican's handling of the job. The survey also has President Donald Trump's approval rating slightly underwater in the district, with 46 percent backing Trump to 47 percent disapproval.

A Democratic polling firm based in Raleigh, Public Policy Polling has a reputation of left-leaning results, although the company's average statistical bias appears to have evened out, according to an analysis by FiveThirtyEight. In this poll, 49 percent of respondents said they voted for Trump to 38 percent for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election, which tracks roughly similar to the actual results of Trump's 53 to Clinton's 41.

Cunningham said the result shows that it is possible to flip the district blue for the first time since it went red in 1980.

https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/lowcountry-voters-looking-for-someone-new-in-congress-democratic-poll/article_634dc9f6-338f-11e8-bd1e-87cd2ce0d1d7.html


In a release, Cherny said he made the switch because "the power of gerrymandering" made running as a Democrat too difficult. "It doesn’t matter how much you raise and spend on a campaign if voters only vote for the political party, not for the candidate,” Cherny said. ...

Democrats in the Charleston-centered district will still have a choice between Joe Cunningham and Toby Smith, both of Charleston. Both parties' primaries will be on June 12.

http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article207446619.html

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