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madville

(7,700 posts)
1. I'm usually a little more pessimistic
Thu Nov 11, 2021, 01:19 PM
Nov 2021

Right now I consider GA, PA, WI and AZ as toss-ups. We just dodged a bullet in NH this week though. Also not convinced NV is as safe as it should be in normal times.

Was surprised to see Walker polling +5 ahead of Warnock recently in GA. Also looks like AZ’s current AG will get the R nod, so he has been successful in a previous statewide election. If “Dr. Oz” runs in PA, well who knows what happens there.

A realistic picture is 52-48 either way or somewhere in the middle.

Plus there is always potential for an October surprise on either side. A jilted mistress releasing text messages, sexual assault/harrassment allegations, leaked racist emails/photos, a DUI arrest, who knows, I feel like we’ve seen it all before at this point.

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