The most likely outcome for the 2022 US Senate Election is Democrats trading GA for PA and WI. [View all]

Democrats will wiIn
37)NY(Schumer-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Welch-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D
47)PA(Fetterman-D)
48)NH(Hassan-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)WI(Barnes-D)

In GA, Warnock has to get over 50 percent of the popular vote in order to avoid the 1/2023 runoff. The 1/2023 runoff election is going to be very close like the 2020 GA US Senate Election Runoff.