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pbmus

(12,839 posts)
3. It ain't green....
Wed Jul 23, 2025, 07:44 PM
Jul 23

Hydrogen has potential as an energy source but faces significant hurdles. It’s not a primary energy source like oil or coal; it’s an energy carrier, meaning it must be produced using other energy sources, like natural gas, nuclear, or renewables. This process—often via electrolysis or steam reforming—can be energy-intensive and costly. Green hydrogen, made using renewable energy, is the cleanest option but currently accounts for less than 1% of global hydrogen production due to high costs and limited infrastructure. Most hydrogen today (over 90%) is "grey," made from fossil fuels, which generates significant CO2 emissions—about 10 tons of CO2 per ton of hydrogen.

As a fuel, hydrogen is versatile: it can power fuel cells for vehicles, generate electricity, or heat buildings. Its energy density is high (120 MJ/kg vs. gasoline’s ~44 MJ/kg), and it produces only water when burned or used in fuel cells, making it appealing for decarbonizing sectors like heavy industry and aviation. However, storage and transport are challenging. Hydrogen has low density, requiring compression or liquefaction, which eats up 10-30% of its energy content. It also embrittles metals, necessitating specialized pipelines, and leaks can pose safety risks due to its flammability.

Infrastructure is another bottleneck. Building a hydrogen economy requires massive investment—estimates suggest $600 billion by 2050 for global supply chains. Current production is ~90 million tons annually, mostly for industrial uses like ammonia production, but scaling up for energy applications would need a 5-10x increase. Some countries, like Japan and Germany, are betting big on hydrogen, with projects like Japan’s $3 billion hydrogen import plan. But costs remain high: green hydrogen is $3-6/kg, compared to $1-2/kg for grey hydrogen and far pricier than natural gas.

On the flip side, renewables like solar and wind are cheaper and more mature for electricity generation, and batteries dominate for light vehicles. Hydrogen’s edge is in hard-to-electrify sectors—think steel production or long-haul shipping—where batteries fall short. Pilot projects, like hydrogen-powered trains in Germany or steel plants in Sweden, show promise, but scaling globally is a decades-long challenge.

Viability depends on context. If renewable energy costs keep dropping and carbon pricing ramps up, green hydrogen could compete by 2030-2040. But without policy support, cheap renewables, and tech breakthroughs in storage and transport, it’s a tough sell against established alternatives. Posts on X reflect this split: optimists see it as a climate game-changer, while skeptics point to inefficiencies and hype. Both have points, but the truth lies in execution—hydrogen’s not a silver bullet, but it’s a piece of the puzzle.

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