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Last edited Tue Aug 12, 2025, 05:05 PM - Edit history (2)

News report from the source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
CPI data series: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0
CORE CPI data series: http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E

I annualize everything to be comparable to each other and to compare to the Fed's 2% target

They are calculated using the actual index values, not from the rounded off monthly change numbers.

The CPI rise averaged 2.3% over the past 3 months on an annualized basis (core CPI: 2.8%)
The July one month increase annualized is: CPI: 2.4%, (core CPI: 3.9%)

REGULAR CPI


CORE CPI


Both the CPI and Core CPI 3 month rolling average were helped when the large April increases dropped out of the 3-month window

The Year - over - year CPI and Core CPI from the OP
So that all the graphs are together


The 12 months averages were hurt by last year's small July 2024 month-over-month increases dropping out of the 12 month window. What drops out of the window is just as important as what enters the 12 month window (which is the latest, July 2025).

Some featured items from the BLS news summary https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Increases in July over June:
Shelter: +0.2%, Energy: -1.1%, Gasoline: -2.2%,
Food: 0.0% and food at home: -0.1%, (I know, I know), Food away from home: +0.3%,

12 month increases:
Energy: -1.6%, Food: +2.9%