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November is well beyond whatever timeline Texas will end up on. The only "move" they could make before then is to pass something showing what the new lines will be... but doing so makes it less likely that the measure will pass.

As for the likelihood of support in a special election in November? That was my initial assumption as well - but then I remembered how California got the existing constitutional process in the first place. Democrats were trying to remove the commission for it's then-current control of state legislative lines while the alternative proposal was to extend the commisssion's mandate to congressional lines as well. The (overwhelmingly blue) state legislature opposed it - as did the entire democratic side of the congressional delegation (including Pelosi)...

...yet we lost by over 20 points.